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The Panthers (+7.5) and Buccaneers stepped up and did their part for my top NFL parlay picks last week. The Patriots and Bears, unfortunately, did not.
It only takes one bad pick to trip up a good parlay, but our goal every week is to string together some good picks and one elite value pick to turn a solid bet into a big payday.
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Should you disagree with any of the picks, you can omit them and change the parlay however you wish. You’re also always free to target these NFL parlay picks as individual bets.
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That said, it’s onward and upward. Let’s dive into the madness and see what my favorite parlay picks for NFL week 8 are.
My first bet of this week 8 NFL parlay is the Over in the Falcons vs. Panthers game on Thursday Night Football.
Both of these offenses are capable of hanging 30+ points without much effort. Carolina saw their game total top this mark last week, and if the Falcons go back to their struggling ways on defense, this feels like an easy total to top.
Add in the potential return of Christian McCaffrey, and there’s a lot of upside in this matchup.
Christian McCaffrey is back at Panthers practice, per @MylesASimmons ?
— B/R Gridiron (@brgridiron) October 26, 2020
CMC hasn’t played since Week 2 pic.twitter.com/5CTO5QrEd4
Carolina’s pass defense has been strong, but both of these units have fatal flaws. I see both sides moving the ball at will, and on a short week, we could get the rare TNF game that does not disappoint.
For a little more on this game, check out our week 8 Falcons vs. Panthers betting preview.
Raiders vs. Browns Over 53.5 (-110)
This is another game where we should see a lot of scoring. The Browns keep losing bodies, as Odell Beckham Jr. was lost for the year, and they still don’t have Nick Chubb back.
While that hurts their offense, Cleveland has a terrific matchup against the Raiders, who have allowed 30+ points in five of six games in 2020.
Neither defense is scary right now, while both teams can attack in every facet of the offense. I like a shootout here, much like we saw between the Browns and Bengals a week ago.
The best part? This total was actually even higher back when we handed out our Raiders vs. Browns week 8 betting pick. It now feels like a slightly safer bet to target the Over.
This is the diciest call of these week eight NFL parlay picks, to be sure. However, I tend to think a lot of the focus will be on the Ravens, simply because they were 14-2 a year ago, and will be at home.
What we should pay a little more attention to is the fact that Lamar Jackson and co. just haven’t been that dominant this season.
He also wasn’t great against Pittsburgh the last time he faced them.
How Lamar Jackson’s last start against the Steelers went:
— Daniel Valente (@StatsGuyDaniel) October 27, 2020
– Just 161 passing yards
– 3 interceptions (career high)
– 54.9 passer rating (career worst)
– Sacked 5 times (reg. season career high)
Ravens narrowly escaped with the win but Pittsburgh did a great job limiting Lamar. pic.twitter.com/3DfM7aYFad
Jackson lacks depth in his supporting cast, and the team may be without top running back Mark Ingram in this one.
Even if Ingram suits up, Baltimore relies on the running game a ton, and they’ll be facing the league’s very best run defense. That needs to be noted, too, seeing as the Steelers stifled Derrick Henry last week.
Pittsburgh might be the more balanced team, and they’re doing something special in 2020. Not only can they send the message that the AFC North is theirs, but they’ll also be looking to stay undefeated with a clutch road win.
I love their value as a stand-alone bet, and this pick really takes this parlay up a notch.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11) -105
Lastly, we can feel pretty good about the Buccaneers clearing this 11-point spread against the New York Giants this week.
Tampa Bay has been very scary defensively lately, as they wiped the floor with the Packers two weeks ago, and last week they contained a fairly dynamic Raiders offense.
If those two offenses couldn’t get past Tampa Bay, I’m not really sure why we’re supposed to think the guy that did this will.
Daniel Jones took it 80 yards then tripped himself ?
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) October 23, 2020
(via @thecheckdown)pic.twitter.com/WewolnJbZ4
Daniel Jones is going to be lost in this matchup. Even if he isn’t, the Buccaneers are also stacked offensively. With the Bucs starting to pull away as the team to beat in the NFC, this really isn’t the game for them to lay an egg.
I’m not alone here, either. Check out our week 8 Buccaneers vs. Giants pick for a closer look at this matchup.
- Falcons vs. Panthers Over 49 (-110)
- Raiders vs. Browns Over 53.5 (-110)
- Pittsburgh Steelers to Win (+160)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11) -105
This looks like a fun NFL parlay for week eight, and the upside is pretty fantastic. A $100 wager on this parlay over at Bovada could bring back $1,750.00.
I feel good about the Over in this week’s TNF game. The Panthers have a pretty dynamic offense, while both of these teams are capable of scoring rather quickly.
Carolina’s defense is a little better than anyone gives it credit for, but on a short week, I think I’d favor the offenses. Getting 50 total points out of this one doesn’t seem like it’s asking a whole lot.
The other game total I like is higher, but possibly even safer. Cleveland and Las Vegas are just really bad defensively, and are both coming off of games where they allowed 34+ points.
The offensive firepower is pretty strong for both sides, as well, so the Over looks like a good bet.
Tampa Bay winning by 12 on the road over the Giants doesn’t feel like a tall order. New York is really bad on offense, and I don’t see a reason why the Bucs should let this one get close.
The only bet with real risk here (in my opinion) is the Steelers as +160 underdogs in Baltimore. However, Pittsburgh is the league’s last undefeated team, and this matchup favors them considerably.
The NFL is back and we have coverage for every game, handing out free top NFL picks and odds analysis as always. We were able to hit big wins in the first three weeks, and Week 4 has some juicy lines for us to take on for parlay combinations. We have a couple of juicy line-busting parlays to line your pockets with.
Midwest Madness
Colts vs. Bears / Saints vs. Lions
The first parlay we’re going to attack sees two modest lines for clearly better teams hitting the road. While it’s difficult to trust certain teams on the road in cooler weather, there’s certain coaching mismatches that must be trusted when it comes to betting. These two games fit the criteria perfectly.
The Colts have a clearly better overall team than the Bears even as Nick Foles takes over for bust Mitchell Trubisky. The two-point line is proper respect for the Colts and the revitalized Philip Rivers, but I see value here because I don’t foresee Frank Reich getting outcoached by Matt Nagy. The totality of the situation looks like a good play for the Colts.
Then we see Sean Payton against Matt Patricia in a massive mismatch. Alvin Kamara has been unstoppable in recent games and there’s not a single defender capable of slowing him on the Lions defense. The Lions are still a freefall candidate even after their shocking win against Arizona last week.
Fears of Drew Brees struggling on the road aren’t quite as large because the game is inside. The Lions’ offense can be troublesome now that Adrian Peterson has taken control of the backfield, but the Saints should be one-touchdown better even on the road considering their roster quality.
Parlay:
NFC Contenders
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Seahawks vs. Dolphins / Browns vs. Cowboys
It’s scary to bet on West Coast teams coming East for an early game, but my goodness the Seahawks’ offense makes it hard to resist taking them against a bad Miami team. Sure, the Dolphins took care of business last week against the fellow lowly Jaguars, but don’t be confused: this Dolphins team is far off from real contention due to their lack of playmakers.
The Seahawks’ secondary is banged up and hasn’t played as well as their talent indicates they should, so this game will likely be right around the 6.5 spread. The Seahawks should win by more as Russell Wilson tries to keep up with Patrick Mahomes’ MVP bid.
The other game to pair with it is a fascinating matchup between fan bases that talk a lot of trash but have underachieving teams. Both Cleveland and Dallas have talented rosters that should be in the playoffs but there’s a sense of uneasiness every week for both franchises even with new coaches. Is this the week both play up to their competition and come out with a key victory?
I think we know enough about Baker Mayfield and the Browns to say he’ll likely not play well against a good team based on his past struggles. At least Dak Prescott plays well in big games, and that’ll be the difference as they play at home.
Parlay:
Destroy Bad Teams
Ravens vs. Washington / Giants vs. Rams
Taking two-score lines is a scary proposition but some teams match up in a way where we can’t ignore the favorite. That’s the case this week as Baltimore and the Los Angeles Rams will destroy their competition to embarrassing levels. The rosters are heavily skewed one way and the stylistic matchup couldn’t be much worse for neither Washington nor the Giants.
Washington loves to throw despite Dwayne Haskins’ lack of surrounding cast and struggles within the pocket, and the Ravens are coming off a humiliating performance where the secondary was exploited. The Ravens will be ballhawking and motivated to bounce back in a big way. Also there’s the Lamar Jackson revenge game we’re sure to see as he failed to break 100 yards passing against the Chiefs.
The Rams will also have a field day against the Giants thanks to schematic advantages. The Giants are one of the worst play-action defending teams in the league and they’re facing a top-three offense in that category. Jared Goff has been excellent this year, and his surrounding receivers are a nightmare matchup for the barren secondary of the Giants.
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It’ll be a long day as Aaron Donald and Leonard Floyd try to force more mistakes out of Daniel Jones.
Best Parlay Picks Week 5
Parlay: